BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Western Conn St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 151 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =   47.28

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Home    W    50.44  24  21    3 132 (  4-  6) William Paterson        2.68      0.32                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    L    34.02  28  33    3 177 (  2-  8) Albright              -13.73      8.73                      
  3 09/17/2021 Home    W *  59.40  42   6    3 222 (  1-  9) Westfield St           11.65     24.35                      
  4 09/24/2021 Away    L *  48.13  17  21    3 146 (  6-  4) Bridgewater St MA       0.37     -4.37                      
  5 10/02/2021 Home    W *  64.36  34  19    3 118 (  9-  2) UMass-Dartmouth        16.61     -1.61                      
  6 10/09/2021 Home    L *  37.39  13  16    3 169 (  5-  5) Plymouth St           -10.36      7.36                      
  7 10/16/2021 Away    L *  42.84  21  35    3 104 (  8-  3) Framingham St          -4.92     -9.08                      
  8 10/23/2021 Home    L *  31.34  20  22    3 196 (  4-  6) Mass Maritime         -16.41     14.41                      
  9 10/30/2021 Away    W *  54.21  56  30    3 225 (  3-  7) Worcester St            6.46     19.54                      
 10 11/06/2021 Away    W *  50.71  48  13    3 236 (  0- 10) Fitchburg St            2.95     32.05                      
      Averages              47.28  30.3 21.6

Best game:   64.36 = 15 point win over UMass-Dartmouth
Worst game:  31.34 = 2 point loss to Mass Maritime
Team stdev:  10.83